AGP Executive Report

Water Security in Comoros: Moroni’s worsening water crisis is pushing residents toward costly informal sellers and long queues as ageing infrastructure fails, with a 2023 survey cited showing many rely on public sources and spend over 30 minutes collecting water. Climate Risks for Fisheries: A World Bank study warns Comoros’ small-scale fisheries are highly exposed to climate change, with accelerating coastal erosion and urgent coral bleaching risks that could cut fish productivity and catch potential. Regional Ocean Conservation: A new push for Western Indian Ocean cooperation highlights how protecting migratory species like sea turtles and shared habitats needs common financing across borders. El Niño Multi-Hazard Outlook: The South-West Indian Ocean Climate Outlook Forum urges island states to prepare for extreme heat, heavy rainfall, marine impacts and tropical cyclone risk, alongside drought and flooding threats. Environmental Safeguards in Development: The AfDB and OPEC Fund strengthened environmental and social safeguards training across Africa, including biodiversity and community health topics, with Comoros among participating countries. Illicit Fuel Ship Interdiction: US and Mexico authorities intercepted the Comoros-flagged M/V Grace suspected of “dark fleet” tactics carrying fuel toward Cuba, warning of spill risks from unsafe ballast-tank storage.

Marine Conservation Finance: A new push for Western Indian Ocean protection argues that saving migratory species like sea turtles needs cross-border cooperation and funding that can follow animals across the Mozambique Channel and beyond. Coastal Heritage at Risk: Another piece warns that climate change is turning tourism into a climate conversation as extreme weather, sea-level rise and erosion threaten historic forts and cultural sites along exposed coastlines. Illicit Fuel and Pollution Risk: The U.S. Coast Guard says it intercepted the M/V Grace, a Comoros-flagged vessel allegedly linked to “dark fleet” tactics, finding large fuel quantities in ballast tanks and containers—raising spill risks for Caribbean coasts and fisheries. Regional Climate Hazards: The South-West Indian Ocean Climate Outlook Forum urges island states like Comoros to plan for multiple hazards—heat, heavy rain, marine impacts and cyclone risk—while drought and flooding pressures vary by location. Water Crisis in Moroni: Residents in Comoros’ capital report worsening daily water shortages as ageing infrastructure fails, pushing people toward costly informal sellers and long queues. Fisheries Under Climate Stress: A World Bank study says Comoros’ small-scale fisheries face accelerating impacts from coastal erosion and coral bleaching, urging new investment to build resilience. UN Climate and Water Diplomacy: UAE UNGA engagement highlighted climate action and sustainable water solutions, including meetings with Comoros President Azali Assoumani.

Water Security in Moroni: Comoros’ capital is facing a deepening water crisis as ageing infrastructure fails, pushing residents into long queues and costly private deliveries. Climate Hazards in the Southwest Indian Ocean: A regional outlook warns El Niño-linked conditions could bring multiple hazards—drought and water stress in the south, flooding and landslides in wetter areas, and island states facing extreme heat, heavy rain, marine impacts and cyclone risk. Fisheries Under Pressure: A World Bank study says Comoros’ small-scale fisheries are highly vulnerable to climate change, with accelerating coastal erosion and urgent coral bleaching risks threatening fish habitats and livelihoods. Fuel Smuggling Risks in the Caribbean: The U.S. Coast Guard, working with Mexico, intercepted the Comoros-flagged M/V Grace suspected of “dark fleet” tactics, finding large fuel quantities in ballast tanks—an environmental hazard tied to potential oil spills. Safeguards for Development Projects: AfDB and OPEC Fund strengthened environmental and social safeguards training, including biodiversity and resettlement issues, with Comoros among participating countries. UN Climate and Water Priorities: UAE’s UNGA engagement highlighted climate action and sustainable water solutions, including meetings with Comoros President Azali Assoumani. Regional Security Meets Environment: Uganda’s upcoming conference on military operations beyond war will include “environmental security” and natural resources management among its agenda items.

Water Security in Comoros: Moroni’s deepening water crisis is pushing residents toward private sellers, long queues and costly deliveries as ageing infrastructure fails, with many households spending over 30 minutes to reach supplies. Climate Risk for the South-West Indian Ocean: The El Niño-influenced outlook warns island states to prepare for multiple hazards—extreme heat, heavy rainfall, marine impacts and tropical cyclone risk—alongside drought and flooding threats that can hit food, water, health, fisheries and ecosystems. Fisheries Under Pressure: A World Bank study says Comoros’ small-scale fisheries are highly vulnerable to climate change as coastal erosion accelerates and coral bleaching and marine heatwaves threaten reefs that fish depend on. Environmental Safeguards in Development: The AfDB and OPEC Fund are strengthening environmental and social safeguards through training that includes Comoros, focusing on biodiversity, land acquisition, resettlement, and community health and safety. Marine Pollution Enforcement: The U.S. Coast Guard says it stopped a Comoros-flagged fuel ship using “dark fleet” tactics, warning that fuel stored in ballast tanks can trigger oil spills harming coastal communities and marine ecosystems. Regional Security and Climate Link: Uganda’s upcoming conference on military operations beyond conventional warfare will include climate change, disaster management and environmental security on the agenda, with Comoros among confirmed participants.

Water Security in Comoros: Moroni’s water crisis is deepening as ageing supply infrastructure fails, leaving residents reliant on private sellers, long queues and costly deliveries, with some areas going days without water and informal distribution filling the gap. Climate Risk for Fisheries: A World Bank study warns Comoros’ small-scale fisheries are highly vulnerable to climate change, as coastal erosion accelerates and marine heatwaves threaten coral reefs and fish breeding grounds—urging new investment to build resilience. Multi-Hazard El Niño Outlook: The South-West Indian Ocean climate outlook flags multiple hazards for Oct–Dec 2026 and Jan–Mar 2027, including drought and water stress in the south, flooding and landslides in wetter areas, and island risks from extreme heat, heavy rain and marine impacts. Marine Conservation Across Borders: A regional conservation focus highlights that protecting migratory species like sea turtles requires cooperation and shared financing across the Western Indian Ocean. Energy/Fuel Pollution Enforcement: The US Coast Guard says it has resumed enforcement against illicit oil shipments to Cuba, warning unsafe fuel stowage can trigger marine pollution and harm fish stocks.

Water Security: Moroni residents are facing a worsening daily water crisis as ageing supply infrastructure fails, pushing people toward private sellers, long queues and costly deliveries. Climate Hazards: The South-West Indian Ocean Climate Outlook Forum warns El Niño could bring multiple hazards—drought and water stress in the south, flooding and landslides in wetter north areas, and for island states a flexible multi-hazard risk covering extreme heat, heavy rain, marine impacts and cyclone threats. Fisheries & Biodiversity: A World Bank study says Comoros fisheries are highly vulnerable to climate change, with accelerating coastal erosion and urgent coral bleaching risks that could cut maximum catch potential by around 60% under the highest-emissions scenario. Regional Preparedness: Uganda’s upcoming conference on military operations beyond conventional warfare will include climate change, disaster management, natural resources management and “environmental security,” with Comoros confirmed among participating countries. Food & Energy Shock Spillovers: The AfDB approved a USD 5.1bn emergency framework targeting highly vulnerable nations, listing Comoros among those exposed to energy and fertilizer crisis impacts that can drive food inflation and agricultural stress. UN Debate Watch: During the UN General Assembly high-level debate, leaders focused on conflict-driven food and energy price pressures, with Comoros among countries referenced in the wider discussion.

Water Security: Moroni residents are facing a worsening daily water crisis as ageing supply networks fail, pushing people into long queues and costly private deliveries. Climate Risk: The South-West Indian Ocean outlook warns El Niño-linked hazards could hit the region in multiple ways—drought and heat in the south, flooding and landslides in wetter areas, and islands facing extreme heat, heavy rain, marine impacts and cyclone risk. Fisheries & Biodiversity: A World Bank study says Comoros fisheries are highly exposed to climate change, with accelerating coastal erosion and urgent coral bleaching risks threatening mangroves, seagrass beds and coral reefs that support fish breeding. Food & Resilience: The same climate pressures are set to raise food and water stress across the region, with impacts on agriculture, health, marine ecosystems and fisheries. Regional Policy: Comoros is listed among countries expected to participate in Uganda’s Oct 5–8 conference on military operations beyond war, including climate and disaster management and environmental security.

Water Security in Moroni: Residents in Comoros’ capital say ageing water infrastructure is failing, leaving neighbourhoods dependent on private sellers, long queues and costly deliveries, with some areas going days without water and people travelling to collect supplies. Fisheries Under Climate Pressure: A World Bank study warns Comoros must boost fisheries investment as climate change accelerates coastal erosion and damages mangroves, seagrass and coral reefs, with more frequent marine heatwaves threatening coral-rich habitats and reducing fish catch potential. Food and Energy Shock Spillovers: At the UN General Assembly, leaders including Comoros’ president highlighted how distant conflicts are raising food and fuel costs and disrupting trade—pressures that hit small island states hardest. Regional Climate Risk and Resilience: The week also featured broader Southern Indian Ocean focus on climate-driven food insecurity and the need for stronger national priorities and regional cooperation to protect livelihoods.

Fisheries & Climate Resilience: A new World Bank study warns Comoros’ small-scale fisheries are highly exposed to climate change, with accelerating coastal erosion and damage to mangroves, seagrass beds and coral reefs. It flags coral bleaching and more frequent, intense marine heatwaves as an urgent risk, projecting major declines in maximum catch potential under the highest-emissions scenario, and urges stepped-up investment to boost adaptive capacity for coastal communities. Maritime Security: East African states backing the Djibouti Code of Conduct are pushing for a regional task force to tackle piracy and sea crimes in the Gulf of Aden and Western Indian Ocean, aiming to protect maritime resources and shipping routes. Regional Climate Response: Zimbabwe has launched a nationwide cloud-seeding programme ahead of below-normal rains, deploying aircraft and drones and activating a wider climate-smart response plan—an approach that may interest SADC partners facing similar weather stress.

Climate & Food Security: The African Development Bank approved a one-year Global Energy and Fertilizer Crisis Response Framework, unlocking up to USD 5.1 billion, with Comoros listed among high-vulnerability countries facing rising fuel and fertilizer costs that threaten harvests. Regional Climate Adaptation: Zimbabwe launched a nationwide cloud-seeding programme to counter below-normal rains, deploying aircraft and drones and activating a six-pillar response plan including climate-smart agriculture and early warning systems. Green Industry & Energy Transition: A Dialogue Earth report highlights how SADC could build a greener industrial base, including a “just steel transition” and green corridor ideas that could help countries like Comoros as part of wider clean-energy cooperation. Maritime Environment & Governance: Commentary on southern Africa’s shipping reroutes warns that while disruptions push more traffic around the Cape, the region isn’t seeing a prosperity boost—an issue that matters for island states reliant on ocean-linked livelihoods. UN Diplomacy & Climate Agenda: During the UN General Assembly, Kyrgyzstan emphasized its climate agenda alongside Security Council work, while broader UN debate linked conflict-driven shocks to food and energy insecurity affecting the Global South.

Climate Watch: A new analysis says this year’s El Niño is already breaking records, with ocean heat reaching extreme levels months before peak intensity—an early warning for weather swings that can hit island food systems and livelihoods. Food & Fertilizer Security: The AfDB approved a one-year emergency energy and fertilizer crisis response, flagging Comoros among high-vulnerability countries as Middle East-linked shocks push up fuel and input costs. Comoros in Focus (Health): In Paris, UNFPA and The Colors launched “Fragrance for Impact,” using the perfume supply chain to expand Comoros mobile clinics from four to seven, linking raw-material territories with on-the-ground services. Maritime Environment & Safety: East African states backed a regional task force under the Djibouti Code of Conduct to tackle piracy and sea crimes in the Gulf of Aden and Western Indian Ocean—protecting shipping routes and marine resources. Trade & Policy (UNGA): At the UN General Assembly, Comoros’ President was among leaders warning that distant conflicts are raising food and energy prices for countries with the least say.

Climate & Food Security: The African Development Bank approved a one-year USD5.1B emergency energy and fertilizer response, naming Comoros among 25 “high vulnerability” countries as conflicts and trade shocks push up fuel and input costs. Weather Resilience: Zimbabwe launched a national cloud-seeding programme to tackle forecast below-normal rains, deploying aircraft and drones alongside a wider six-pillar climate response. Marine Environment & Security: East African states backed a proposal for a regional task force against piracy and sea crimes across the Gulf of Aden and Western Indian Ocean, aiming to protect shipping routes and maritime resources. Local Sustainability & Health: In Comoros, UNFPA and The Colors launched “Fragrance for Impact,” linking the perfume supply chain to expanded mobile clinic services for women and young people, with plans to grow the network. Biodiversity/Environment Dispute: Mauritius renewed its call for joint management of Tromelin Island’s fishing and environmental protection, as France continues to administer the territory and refuses to ratify a 2010 agreement.

Climate & Food Security: The African Development Bank approved a temporary one-year Global Energy and Fertilizer Crisis Response Framework, unlocking up to USD5.1bn in emergency relief for highly vulnerable countries—including Comoros—hit by Middle East-driven fuel and fertilizer shocks that threaten food inflation and farm output. UN Diplomacy & Environment: At the UN General Assembly, India and other developing states warned that distant wars are raising global food and energy costs and disrupting trade, with Comoros’ leadership also cited in the wider Global South push for de-escalation and protection of commerce. El Niño Watch: New reporting says El Niño is already breaking records, with ocean heat reaching extreme levels months ahead of peak intensity—an early warning for rainfall swings and climate stress across the Indian Ocean. Maritime Governance: East African states backed a proposal for a regional task force against piracy and sea crimes in the Gulf of Aden and Western Indian Ocean, aiming to protect shipping routes and maritime resources that island economies depend on. Comoros Spotlight (Health & Supply Chains): In Paris, UNFPA and The Colors launched “Fragrance for Impact,” using Comoros as a first testing ground to link the perfume industry with mobile clinic support for women and youth, with plans to expand the network.

Climate & Food Security: The African Development Bank approved a one-year Global Energy and Fertilizer Crisis Response Framework, with Comoros listed among 25 “high-vulnerability” nations as Middle East conflict-driven supply shocks push up fuel and imported farm inputs. Regional Climate Adaptation: Zimbabwe launched a nationwide cloud-seeding programme to tackle forecast below-normal rains, deploying aircraft and drones alongside a six-pillar response plan including climate-smart agriculture and early warning systems. Ocean & Maritime Risk: East African states backed a proposal under the Djibouti Code of Conduct to form a regional task force against piracy and sea crimes in the Gulf of Aden and Western Indian Ocean, as incidents and armed robberies continue to disrupt routes. Comoros Spotlight (Industry + Health): “Fragrance for Impact” links the perfume supply chain to UNFPA mobile clinics in Comoros, aiming to expand services from four to seven clinics for women, girls and young people. Global Warming Signal: El Niño is already breaking records, with ocean heat reaching extreme levels months ahead of peak intensity, raising the odds of wider weather disruptions.

Climate & Food Security: The African Development Bank approved a one-year Global Energy and Fertilizer Crisis Response Framework, unlocking up to USD5.1bn in emergency support for highly vulnerable countries—explicitly listing Comoros—amid Middle East-driven supply shocks that are pushing up fuel and fertilizer costs and threatening harvests. Regional Food Insecurity: A new look at the South West Indian Ocean highlights how climate change is turning food insecurity into an existential risk for small island states like Comoros, even as the issue often struggles to land as a national priority. El Niño Watch: Oceans have logged 100 days of extreme heat as El Niño strengthens ahead of peak season, with record-breaking Pacific temperatures raising the odds of disruptive weather across the tropics. Comoros in Global Partnerships: UNFPA and The Colors launched “Fragrance for Impact,” using Comoros as a first testing ground to link the perfume supply chain to mobile clinic expansion for women and young people. Maritime Pressure: East African states are moving toward a regional task force against piracy and sea crimes in the Gulf of Aden and Western Indian Ocean—an issue that directly affects fisheries and shipping routes that Comoros depends on.

Climate Finance: The AfDB approved a one-year Global Energy and Fertilizer Crisis Response Framework worth up to USD5.1bn, flagging Comoros among 25 “high-vulnerability” African states as Middle East-linked shocks push up fuel and fertilizer costs. Food Security & Weather Risk: A new report says El Niño is already breaking records, with ocean heat hitting extreme levels months ahead of peak—raising the odds of disruptive weather for island nations. Regional Food Insecurity (SWIO): A regional analysis warns climate change is turning food insecurity into an existential threat for South West Indian Ocean small island states, including Comoros, even as the issue struggles to stay high on national agendas. Comoros in the Spotlight (Health + Supply Chains): “Fragrance for Impact” links the perfume industry to UNFPA mobile clinics in Comoros, aiming to expand the clinic network from four to seven. Maritime Pressure in the Indian Ocean: East African states are backing a proposal for a regional task force against piracy and sea crimes in the Gulf of Aden and Western Indian Ocean, protecting routes that matter for regional livelihoods and trade.